Dwell hog costs proceed to fall. Originally of 2021, the worth of stay hogs fluctuated between 83,000 and 86,000 VND/kg. By early August, the worth dropped sharply to solely 52,000 – 56,000 VND/kg, in early September, the worth of stay hog within the North dropped to solely 50,000 VND/kg.
In livestock capitals like Dong Nai and Hau Giang, the worth of stay hogs is just 51,000 VND/kg.
The value of pigs fell sharply, whereas the worth of animal feed continued to extend, inflicting many pig farming households to fall into heavy losses.
Many farmers shared that in comparison with this time final yr, the worth per bag of bran elevated from 50,000 to 70,000 VND. A farm with about 50 sows, 150 meat pigs and 50 suckling pigs consumes greater than 800 baggage of bran monthly on common. Calculating the price of elevating livestock elevated by about 50 million VND/month.
Whereas epidemics, particularly African swine fever, nonetheless recur in lots of locations, inflicting shepherds to be beneath stress, even shedding their lives due to the epidemic.
Mr. Duc, a pig farmer in Thanh Tri (Hanoi) shared, in 2021, the worth of stay pigs will begin to lower, tremendous lean pigs from 90,000 VND/kg are actually 57,000 – 58,000 VND/kg, whereas hybrid pigs presently promoting solely 50,000 VND/kg, the bottom in additional than a yr. Nevertheless, because the starting of the yr, the bran provider has constantly elevated the worth, beforehand every bag of bran weighing 25kg prices 270,000 VND, now it has elevated to 330,000 VND.
“The associated fee for a pig of greater than 100kg for slaughter is about 6.6 million VND, if bought for 50,000 VND/kg, every pig will lose greater than 1 million VND.
Though the worth of piglets has additionally decreased to only one.7 million – 2 million VND/head, I nonetheless need to recalculate if I ought to re-herd all pigs on this farm. If bran costs proceed to rise, I must pause for some time,” stated Duc.
Not solely Mr. Duc, many pig elevating households stated that from now till the tip of the yr, if the worth of bran nonetheless will increase and the worth of stay pigs nonetheless decreases, they are going to reduce down the herd, even quickly cease elevating to keep away from losses.
Danger of scarcity of pork provide on the finish of the yr?
Lately, at a convention to take away difficulties and orient the event of the livestock business within the final months of 2021, Mr. Duong Tat Thang, Appearing Director of the Division of Livestock Manufacturing, stated that as of July 1, 2021, pigs There are 26.Three million youngsters in the entire nation.
Dealing with the scenario of the Covid-19 epidemic, the Division of Livestock Manufacturing gave Three forecast eventualities.
Particularly, state of affairs 1, if the Covid-19 epidemic might be managed by the tip of September or the tip of the third quarter of 2021, then the demand for meals will enhance once more; If the livestock, slaughter and distribution chains are resolved and circulation is restored, the livestock business will meet home demand and the 2022 Lunar New 12 months.
State of affairs two, if the Covid-19 epidemic is introduced beneath management by the tip of the fourth quarter of 2021, will probably be tough for farmers to take care of manufacturing as a result of enter prices resembling animal feed and veterinary medicine enhance, however manufacturing costs enhance. risky output; market buying energy declined a lot; the slaughter chain, distribution is just not circulated; Farmers don’t dare to re-herd, many livestock manufacturing amenities and feed companies are affected, meals provide for Tet 2022 will probably be 10-20% quick.
State of affairs 3, if Covid-19 lasts after the 2022 Lunar New 12 months, then a collection of provide chains are damaged, if there is no such thing as a resolution to enhance circulation and distribution, farmers will depart their barns empty, many homes Small and medium-sized feed machines endure from difficulties, which may result in chapter. Danger of meals scarcity 30-40%.
Representatives of many localities additionally stated that the demand for pork has decreased by almost half as a result of the kitchens in industrial parks and export processing zones have low working charges and unemployed staff haven’t any revenue.
In the meantime, quite a few massive enterprises have a big amount of pigs that haven’t but been bought. Particularly, the worth of animal feed nonetheless reveals indicators of constant to extend, making income from livestock now not, so farmers vacated the barns extra and elevating the family measurement decreased.
Often on the finish of the yr and the Lunar New 12 months, the demand for pork consumption will increase very strongly, so presently, the livestock business is planning to take a position to extend the herd. Nevertheless, if pig farmers don’t wish to re-herd due to losses, there will probably be a threat of meat provide scarcity within the final months of the yr, particularly within the 2022 Lunar New 12 months.
